Northern Ireland

All eyes on Alliance in Lisburn and Castlereagh while DUP hopes share doesn't continue to shrink

Lisburn and Castlereagh remains a strongly unionist council area, but the Alliance vote rose significantly between 2014 and 2019.
Lisburn and Castlereagh remains a strongly unionist council area, but the Alliance vote rose significantly between 2014 and 2019.

DESPITE continued DUP support in this seven-DEA unionist stronghold, the party will be hoping the downward trend of the 2019 election across the area doesn’t continue when voters return to the polls this month.

Four years ago, with just 65 total votes behind its 2014 election tally, the DUP finished with five less councillors in the chamber at 15 seats, and four percent less of the overall vote share, at almost 37 per cent.

The blame for that surprising outcome can be laid firmly at the feet of the Alliance Party, which jumped from 12 per cent of the overall area vote in 2014 to an impressive 23.6 percent, giving them nine seats – two more than the previous term.

Their Lisburn and Castlereagh result was the party’s best across any of the north’s 11 council areas, and underlines the threat faced by the DUP in leader Jeffrey Donaldson’s home turf by the rise of the middle ground.

In 2021, the DUP’s representation in the chamber shrank again by one, as councillor Nathan Anderson quit to become an independent, after claiming his former party should have taken a tougher stance on abortion law in the north.

The DUP will be hoping that its Stormont boycott gamble over the NI Protocol doesn’t see them losing out further as parties which have backed the Windsor Framework make gains.

The UUP, which cautiously welcomed the framework as an “important stepping stone” towards protocol changes, has been on a slow but steady upward trend in Lisburn and Castlereagh, winning three further council seats in 2019 – making 11 in total – with just 1.6 per cent extra of the overall vote.

Meanwhile, the SDLP will be waiting to see if its own small slice of the vote share - 8.7 percent in 2019 – will be diluted by nationalist voters switching to Sinn Féin.

Sinn Féin managed to get two of its own councillors into the chamber last time around - their first since the creation of the L&CC ‘super council’ was formed - by boosting their vote from 4.7 to 5.4 per cent.

This saw the SDLP lose one seat, dropping from three to two, despite increasing its vote share by less than a percentage point to 5.4.

However, last year saw councillor Simon Lee, who was elected in 2019 as a Green Party candidate, quit the Greens and join the SDLP, bringing the nationalist party back to three seats.

Three Green candidates will now be trying to benefit from any increase on 2019’s 1.7 percent share of the vote for the party.

Meanwhile, former SDLP MLA Pat Catney - previously a Lisburn councillor – is hoping to make a return to local politics after losing his Stormont seat last May.

As for the TUV, the hardliner unionist party will be hoping to see a return to the L&CC chamber after a four-year absence by banking on disillusioned unionists turning from both the DUP and UUP.

It saw its vote share from 2014 more than halve to just 2.3 percent last time around, and is hoping one of its three candidates – including its former council rep Andrew Girvin – can clinch back a seat.

Castlereagh East

Samantha Burns - DUP

David Drysdale - DUP (sitting)

Andrew Girvin - TUV

Martin Gregg - Alliance (sitting)

John Laverty - DUP (sitting)

Hazel Legge - UUP (sitting)

Sharon Lowry – Alliance (sitting)

Sharon Skillen – DUP (sitting)

Terry Winchcombe - Green Party

Castlereagh South

Daniel Bassett - Sinn Féin

Ryan Carlin - Sinn Féin (sitting)

Nancy Eaton - Alliance

John Gallen - SDLP (sitting)

Michelle Guy - Alliance (sitting)

Jacinta Hamley - Green Party

Michael Henderson - UUP (sitting)

Brian Higginson - DUP

Simon Lee - SDLP (sitting)

Martin McKeever - Alliance

Andrew Miller - Independent

William Traynor - DUP

Downshire East

James Baird - UUP (sitting)

Kurtis Dickson - Alliance

John Drake - SDLP

Stewart Ferris - TUV

Andrew Gowan - DUP (sitting)

Uel Mackin - DUP (sitting)

Aaron McIntyre - Alliance (sitting)

Alex Swan - UUP (sitting)

Downshire West

Allan Ewart - DUP (sitting)

Owen Gawith – Alliance (sitting)

William Leathem - DUP

Alan Martin - UUP

Liz McCord - UUP

Caleb McCready - DUP (sitting)

Siobhán Murphy - Sinn Féin

Luke Robinson - Green Party

Gretta Thompson – Alliance

Killultagh

Thomas Beckett - DUP (sitting)

Stuart Brown - Independent

Claire Kemp - Alliance

Gary McCleave - Sinn Féin

Ross McLernon - UUP (sitting)

Jack Patton - SDLP

James Tinsley – DUP (sitting)

Laura Turner - UUP

Lisburn North

Paul Burke - Sinn Féin

Scott Carson – DUP (sitting)

Pat Catney - SDLP

Jonathan Craig – DUP (sitting)

Linsey Gibson (UUP)

Gary Hynds - Independent

Stephen Martin – Alliance (sitting)

Nicola Parker - Alliance

Nicholas Trimble - UUP (sitting)

Lisburn South

Andrew Ewing - DUP (sitting)

Aisling Flynn - Sinn Féin

Dee French - SDLP

Alan Givan - DUP (sitting)

Amanda Grehan - Alliance (sitting)

Peter Kennedy - Alliance

Stewart McEvoy - TUV

Tim Mitchell - UUP (sitting)

Jenny Palmer - UUP (sitting)

Paul Porter - DUP (sitting)